Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000955 0.001083 0.001218 0.001371 0.001539 0.001716 0.001918
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000715 0.000888 0.001084 0.001319 0.001592 0.001897 0.002263
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000589 0.000779 0.001004 0.001285 0.001625 0.002019 0.002507
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000506 0.000709 0.000958 0.001281 0.001684 0.002164 0.002774
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000444 0.000654 0.000922 0.001280 0.001740 0.002301 0.003029
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000387 0.000600 0.000880 0.001266 0.001774 0.002408 0.003246
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000337 0.000548 0.000835 0.001243 0.001792 0.002492 0.003433
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000311 0.000527 0.000830 0.001270 0.001874 0.002656 0.003725
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000287 0.000506 0.000822 0.001290 0.001947 0.002810 0.004005
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000254 0.000468 0.000786 0.001270 0.001961 0.002885 0.004182
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000224 0.000431 0.000749 0.001244 0.001966 0.002945 0.004339
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000206 0.000413 0.000739 0.001257 0.002023 0.003077 0.004593
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000190 0.000397 0.000731 0.001272 0.002086 0.003220 0.004868
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000166 0.000364 0.000693 0.001239 0.002076 0.003261 0.005005
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000144 0.000332 0.000655 0.001203 0.002060 0.003291 0.005124
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000131 0.000314 0.000638 0.001200 0.002092 0.003389 0.005340
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000119 0.000298 0.000624 0.001199 0.002127 0.003491 0.005563
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000106 0.000279 0.000602 0.001186 0.002141 0.003562 0.005743
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000094 0.000259 0.000577 0.001164 0.002140 0.003611 0.005890
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000089 0.000254 0.000580 0.001189 0.002215 0.003773 0.006205
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000083 0.000248 0.000579 0.001209 0.002280 0.003923 0.006505
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.000074 0.000231 0.000557 0.001190 0.002282 0.003975 0.006659
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.000065 0.000215 0.000533 0.001165 0.002273 0.004011 0.006790